Month-End Summary

Navigating Market Uncertainty: Staying Focused on Your Long-Term Plan

Coley Neel, CFA®

Chief Investment Strategist
April 15, 2025
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As we navigate through periods of market volatility and uncertainty, it’s easy to become disoriented by short-term fluctuations. Recent months have witnessed significant market movements, largely driven by tariff-related uncertainties under the new administration. While these events have understandably caused a sense of unease, it is crucial to remain focused on your long-term investment strategy, especially when market conditions are uncertain.

Market Volatility: A Reflection of Uncertainty

In March 2025, U.S. equity markets, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, experienced noticeable pullbacks. The S&P 500 dropped by approximately 5.8%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq saw a decline of about 8.2%. Much of this downturn stemmed from uncertainty surrounding the implementation of new tariffs, which has significantly impacted consumer confidence and corporate outlooks for the rest of the year. The ongoing confusion over trade policies and their long-term effects on the economy has created an environment where businesses are hesitant to make forecasts, contributing to market instability.

However, it is important to remember that market downturns like these are a normal part of investing. Historically, after periods of volatility, markets have rebounded and often gone on to establish new heights. The key is maintaining a disciplined approach, sticking with your strategy, and avoiding knee-jerk reactions based on short-term movements.

The Power of Temperament

In times of market stress, one of the most important qualities an investor can possess is temperament. As Warren Buffett famously said, "The most important quality for an investor is temperament, not intellect." Investors who remain calm and stick to their strategies during turbulent times tend to fare better than those who panic and sell at the wrong moment.

Despite the challenges presented by recent tariff policies, there is no indication that the fundamental drivers of the economy—such as inflation moving towards the Federal Reserve’s target and strong earnings from many companies—have been permanently damaged. As the tariff situation evolves and more clarity emerges, there may be significant opportunities for growth.

The Importance of Staying Invested

One of the most important lessons from past market cycles is that pulling out of the market during volatile periods can result in missed opportunities for long-term growth. The temptation to raise cash during uncertain times is understandable, but it often leads to negative long-term consequences. History has shown that markets rebound after volatility, and those who stay invested tend to see stronger returns over time.

For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic and the market revaluation of 2022, investors who remained invested despite initial market drops were better off than those who sold and attempted to time the market. Remaining invested allows you to take advantage of market recoveries and ride out periods of uncertainty.

Focusing on the Long-Term

While short-term market fluctuations are inevitable, it is crucial to stay focused on your long-term financial goals. The markets have always bounced back from bear markets, and despite recent volatility, there are, in our opinion, many potential opportunities. The ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs may lead to short-term pain, but it could also present long-term opportunities in the form of undervalued stocks and sectors.

Moreover, fundamentally strong companies will likely continue to grow, regardless of market conditions. By sticking to your plan and focusing on long-term growth, you position yourself to benefit when the market eventually stabilizes and starts to trend upwards again.

In closing, it is important to remember that in uncertain times, staying the course is vital to your Financial Peace of Mind. The markets have historically rewarded long-term investors who do not let short-term volatility sway them from their investment strategy. While it’s natural to feel concerned during periods of market decline, focusing on your long-term goals and adhering to the portfolio strategy that you develop with your advisor will likely help you weather the storm and come out ahead when the market recovers.  As we have stated previously, the cooler heads in times of chaos tend to be the ones that benefit the most.

This has been provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as legal or investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or strategy. The investment strategy and themes discussed herein may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation. Information obtained from third-party sources is believed to be reliable though its accuracy is not guaranteed. Opinions expressed in this commentary reflect subjective judgments of the author based on conditions at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Written by

Coley Neel, CFA®

Chief Investment Strategist

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